Will winter be mild or wild?

Print Article

Although the National Weather Service is predicting a mild to average winter for 2013-2014, the Farmers’ Almanac is predicting a bitterly cold and snowy winter. The Old Farmer’s Almanac is also predicting a harsh winter, although shows Beloit as being in an area that won’t be hit as hard as the rest of the country.

For 2013 -2014, Farmers’ Almanac (www.farmersalmanac.com) is forecasting a winter with below average temperatures for most of the country. The coldest temperatures will be in the area from the Northern Plains on east to the Great Lakes, putting Wisconsin in heart of frigid weather. And when in comes to precipitation, Midwest along with the Southern Plains and Southeast will have higher than average amounts of snow.

The Old Farmer’s Almanac (www.almanac.com) is also predicting a bitterly cold and snowy winter. It goes on to say a decline in solar activity combined with ocean-atmosphere patterns in the Pacific and Atlantic will result in below-normal temperatures and above-normal snowfall this winter.

Beloit, however, might be spared. According to the Old Farmer’s Almanac 2014 Long-Range Weather Forecast said winter will be slightly milder than normal, with near-normal precipitation and below-normal snowfall in most of the region. The coldest periods will be in mid-to-late December, early and mid-January, and in early to mid-February. The snowiest periods will be in mid- and late December and in late January. The first snow shower is forecast for late November.

Despite some of the cold and wet predictions, Rudy Schaar, a National Weather Service meteorologist in Sullivan, Wis., said October may be slightly warmer than normal, and this winter is likely to be mild to average. From November through January there are equal chances or it being either above, below or average in terms of both temperature and precipitation for the Greater Beloit area.

Schaar said the difference in predictions could stem from how other sources may rely on the solar cycles to make weather forecasts, while the National Weather Services uses ocean-atmosphere patterns.

Schaar acknowledged the Earth is in the peak of an 11-year solar cycle, which culminates with a high amount of solar flare activity.

“We are close to the peak and then we are going downhill,” he said.

At the peak it can be slightly warmer and stormier which could explain some of the warmer and stormier winters in the past few years. And since the peak is almost reached, the warmth could turn slightly cooler in the future. He said although solar flare activity can have a small impact on radio wave propagation, electromagetics and weather to a small degree, Schaar said the cycle is really not that dramatic.

According to the ocean-atmosphere patterns, there is a neutral phase in place.

“Signals show it’s going to be a normal winter for us,” said.

Schaar said he couldn’t predict when the first snow will fall but said it’s typically the middle or end of November.

Print Article

Read More News

South Beloit won't outsource policing

July 24, 2017 at 4:00 pm | SOUTH BELOIT - The City of South Beloit will not be contracting with the Winnebago County Sheriff's Office for police services in the city. City officials have been engaged in talks with the Winneba...

Comments

Read More

Stateline prepares for flooding

July 24, 2017 at 4:00 pm | ROCKFORD - Sandbagging stations were set up in Roscoe, Machesney Park and New Milford over the weekend as river levels continued to rise in Winnebago County. The Winnebago County Sheriff's Office an...

Comments

Read More

Mayor plans 'State of City' address

July 24, 2017 at 4:00 pm | SOUTH BELOIT - South Beloit Mayor Ted Rehl will give a rundown of plans for the city's future and talk about some recent challenges during a State of the City address set for 6 p.m. Aug. 9 at the Nat...

Comments

Read More

Man accused of scuffle at store

July 24, 2017 at 4:00 pm | BELOIT - A Beloit man has been charged with multiple crimes following a fight on July 13 in the 1800 block of Summit Avenue, according to a Rock County Circuit Court criminal complaint. Garvin T. H...

Comments

Read More

Contact Us

(608) 365-8811
149 State Street
Beloit, WI 53511

©2017 Beloit Daily News Terms of Use Privacy Policy
X